Rachel Reeves has just delivered a Budget to remember for motorists with millions and the car industry itself set to feel betrayed and angry at Labour’s latest tax plan. Rumours of a pay-per-mile scheme for electric car owners have materialised with a 3p per mile fee set to be introduced from 2028.
Predictions have suggested the move could see EV owners pay around £12 to travel between London and Edinburgh, with around £300 added to annual bills for those who travel the average of 10,000 miles per year. Electric cars will still be cheaper than petrol and diesel fees, with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) admitting mileage-based charges will be around "half the fuel duty rate paid by petrol cars”.
However, the optics of an increased electric car charge isn't a good one and is likely to leave consumers feeling somewhat baffled, maybe even punished. Motorists who listened to politicians and made the switch to electric cars have every right to feel annoyed.
As much as some would have purchased electric models for the good of the climate, for many, it was the financial incentives that provided the biggest reward. A 2020 poll from YouGov, when EV sales really took off, found that lower running costs were the most important reason for 31% of consumers.
But, the biggest sucker punch is that not only has Labour pressed ahead with a plan that’s going to prove unpopular with motorists, but they know it’ll cause major damage to the UK car industry. In the run-up to the budget, there was concern among experts that a new 3p per mile rate could deter motorists from making the switch to electric vehicles, and that’s exactly what will happen.
The OBR analysis, comically released ahead of the actual Budget statement, even admits the new charge will “reduce demand for electric cars as it increases their lifetime cost”. Overall, as a result of the measure, the OBR has admitted there will be as many as 440,000 fewer electric car sales.
Earlier this year, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), among the leading experts in the industry, stressed that incentives were needed to convert ‘electric sceptics’. In the run-up to the charge, the SMMT admitted the fee would be the “wrong measure at the wrong time” with EV sales still on the rise. It suggests Labour aren’t listening to the experts in their bid to raise revenues.
After the announcement, the RAC even admitted that the Government “will be aware that taxing all plug-in vehicles per mile from 2028 could slow down the transition to electric vehicles”. So Labour knows the move could have a damaging reaction to sales with industry clearly concerned, but have decided to just press ahead and do it anyway.
The Zero Emissions Vehicle mandate rules mean manufacturers have to produce a certain number of electric cars each year to meet the threshold. The OBR now explains that manufacturers will need to respond to the news by "lowering prices or reducing sales of non-EV vehicles".
Today, manufacturers must feel like fools, they’ve invested in the production lines, ditched their petrol and diesel product ranges and Labour has now likely scared off the customers. Last year, the Treasury claimed the Government wanted to "strengthen incentives to purchase EVs”. Well, Rachel, you've just likely achieved the exact opposite.